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AJC/UGA SPIA poll shows Biden and Trump nearly tied in early numbers

2024 presidential frontrunners Joe Biden and Donald Trump are nearly tied in Georgia, according to an early poll published in the Atlanta-Journal Constitution. 45% of voters said they would vote for Trump and 44% said they would vote for Biden. The margin of error for the poll was 3.1 percentage points.

The University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs conducted the early poll where over one thousand likely general election voters in Georgia participated in a live telephone survey between October 26 and November 3.

Respondents shared concerns about both candidates. Over 56% of Georgians disapprove of Biden’s performance and some poll participants shared concerns over his old age in a second term. Likely voters also expressed concerns about Trump’s felony charges. Nearly 40% of Republicans say they won’t vote for a political candidate convicted of a felony crime and almost 70% of Georgians say that Trump shouldn’t have pressed state officials to overturn his 2020 defeat in Georgia.

The results of the poll show that Biden’s current campaign has less support than his 2020 run with independent and Black Georgia voters. Only 30% of independents and around 78% of Black voters said they would vote for Biden. Democrats in Georgia generally gain at least 90% support from Black voters.

The poll also found that 70% of voters believe that the country is on the “wrong track” and the vast majority see the economy and government spending as the two most important issues going into the election.